Direct Answer
The Crisis Replay Simulator lets you pick a historical financial crisis from 50 preset events, enter a starting portfolio value, and set a stocks/bonds/cash allocation to see how your portfolio would have moved through the event. All quantitative simulation output is currently pending source verification against primary time-series data; the qualitative case-study content for each event is available now through the individual event pages linked below.
Crisis Replay: How $10,000 Would Have Fared Through History's Biggest Crises
Every major financial crisis tested portfolios differently. A 60/40 stock-bond portfolio that held reasonably well through the 1994 bond selloff was hammered by the 2008 credit crisis, while a cash-heavy allocation that preserved capital through 2008 would have missed the sharpest recovery years that followed. The Crisis Replay Simulator makes those differences concrete: pick an event, set your allocation, and see what happened to $10,000 from the crisis start date through peak drawdown and recovery.
Simulation output for all 50 events is pending verification against primary time-series sources. The qualitative case-study content for each event, covering structural vulnerability, catalyst, transmission, policy response, and recovery path, is available now through the individual event links in the fallback list below the simulator.
Select a Crisis Event
Choose an event from the dropdown, enter your starting portfolio value, and set your stocks, bonds, and cash allocation. All 50 events are in the editorial-ready state; quantitative time-series data will be published after source verification is complete.
All 50 Crisis Events
Browse all preset events by category. Each link leads to the full qualitative case study for that event, covering the structural conditions that made it possible, the immediate trigger, how stress spread, policy response, and recovery.
Banking Crises
- Panic of 1907
- Savings and Loan Crisis
- Turkey Financial Crisis 2000-01
- Iceland Banking Collapse
- Credit Suisse Crisis and UBS Rescue
- Cyprus Banking Crisis
- Silicon Valley Bank and 2023 U.S. Regional Banking Stress
Bond-Market Crises
Commodity Shocks
- 1973-74 Oil Shock and Bear Market
- 1978-79 Oil Shock
- Silver Thursday / Hunt Brothers Silver Crisis
- OPEC Oil Price Collapse 1986
- Commodity Supercycle Boom and Bust 2000s
- Negative Oil Prices April 2020
Corporate Collapses
Crypto Crises
- Mt. Gox Collapse
- DAO Hack and Ethereum Fork
- ICO Boom and Bust 2017-2018
- Terra/Luna and UST Collapse
- FTX Collapse
Currency Crises
- Bretton Woods Collapse and Nixon Shock
- ERM Crisis / Black Wednesday
- Mexican Peso Crisis (Tequila Crisis)
- Asian Financial Crisis
- Russian Financial Crisis of 1998
- Brazil Currency Crisis 1999
- Swiss Franc Shock 2015
Exchange and Market-Structure Failures
Financial Bubbles
Financial Fraud
Inflation and Deflation
Interest-Rate Shocks
Investor Manias
Market Crashes
Recessions and Depressions
Sovereign Debt Crises
- Latin American Debt Crisis
- Mexican Debt Crisis 1982
- Russian Default and LTCM Crisis
- Argentina 2001-02 Default and Convertibility Collapse
- European Sovereign Debt Crisis
- Greek Sovereign Debt Crisis
Wars and Geopolitical Events
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Crisis Replay Simulator?
The Crisis Replay Simulator lets you select a historical financial crisis from fifty preset events and specify a starting portfolio value with a stocks, bonds, and cash allocation. Once historical return data for each event has been verified against primary time-series sources, the simulator will show how your portfolio would have moved from the crisis start date through drawdown and recovery. All simulation output is currently pending that source verification.
Why does the simulator show verification pending instead of numbers?
Quantitative historical return data requires verification against primary sources such as CRSP, Bloomberg, and FRED before it can be published. The fifty crisis presets are editorially ready with qualitative case-study content, but the time-series data needed to calculate start value, drawdown depth, trough value, and recovery checkpoints must pass a source-verification step. This policy is the same one applied to the Crisis Comparison Engine: qualitative dimensions first, quantitative data only after source verification.
What asset allocations can I test in the Crisis Replay Simulator?
Each preset supports broad equity, government bonds, and cash or T-bills. Some events also support gold or an event-specific asset if verified time-series data exists for that asset during the crisis period. You can split your portfolio across stocks, bonds, and cash in any combination that sums to 100 percent. The simulator will show how each allocation behaved differently through the same event once data verification is complete.