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Crypto Risk Management

Crypto Position Sizing Within a Risk Plan

Spot the edge. Swoop in.

A single position's size can only be judged correctly against everything else already open. Here's how total open risk and correlation change what "correctly sized" means.

What Is Crypto Position Sizing?

Crypto position sizing is deciding how many dollars go into one specific position, either as a percentage of your total crypto allocation or as your maximum dollar risk divided by the distance to your stop. It's one input to a full risk plan, not a standalone decision: the same $2,000 position can be reasonable or reckless depending on what else is already open and how closely those other positions are correlated.

Position Sizing vs. Portfolio Allocation

Portfolio allocation is how much of your total wealth is exposed to crypto overall. Position sizing is how much of that crypto allocation goes into one specific asset or trade. Getting the portfolio allocation right doesn't automatically make individual position sizes correct — a trader with a disciplined 8% crypto allocation can still put 40% of that allocation into a single altcoin.

Two Ways to Size a Position

Allocation-based sizing caps a single asset at a percentage of the crypto allocation — for example, no more than 10% of crypto holdings in any one altcoin. It suits longer-term holdings that don't have a specific exit price, and it controls concentration without requiring an invalidation level.

Stop-based sizing derives the position from a maximum dollar risk and a stop distance: position size = maximum dollar risk ÷ stop-loss percentage. It suits active trades with a defined invalidation point, and it controls the dollar loss if the thesis is wrong rather than the position's total value.

The full formula, worked example, fee/slippage handling, and leverage math live on the crypto position-size calculator — use it to run stop-based sizing against your own numbers. This page focuses on what happens once you have more than one position sized this way.

Total Open Risk: Why One Trade's Size Isn't the Whole Picture

Total open risk is the sum of the planned dollar risk across every open position at once, not just the trade you're about to place. Four trades each risking $200 add up to $800 of total open risk — 4% of a $20,000 account — even though no single trade looks large in isolation.

A common mistake is applying the same per-trade risk limit (say, 1%) to every new trade without checking the running total. Five "1% risk" trades opened independently can add up to 5% of the account at risk simultaneously, which is a very different exposure than any single trade suggests.

Correlation: When "Different" Positions Share the Same Risk

Positions in different tokens that depend on the same blockchain, narrative, or liquidity source tend to move together during market stress, so their combined risk can behave like one large position rather than several independent ones. A token, a liquid-staking position built on that token, and a lending position collateralized by it can all fall at once if the base asset drops — three line items, one underlying risk.

Before sizing a new position, it's worth asking whether it shares a dependency with something already open: the same base blockchain, the same stablecoin, the same exchange, or the same broad narrative (e.g., a specific Layer 2 ecosystem). If it does, size it as an addition to an existing exposure, not as an independent bet.

Leverage, Fees, and Slippage Still Apply

Stop-based sizing assumes the stop fills at its trigger price, fees are negligible, and there's no leverage — none of which is guaranteed on a crypto exchange. Leverage adds a liquidation price that can sit before the stop; round-trip fees and slippage widen the realized loss beyond the raw stop-distance calculation. The crypto position-size calculator accounts for all three directly; the dedicated leverage and liquidation risk guide covers the mechanics in more depth.

Worked Example: Sizing Three Positions Together

Hypothetical example — for education only.

A $20,000 account with a 1% max risk per trade ($200) opens three positions, each individually sized using the stop-based formula:

PositionAssetPlanned riskShares same base network as
AToken X (Layer 2)$200
BToken X liquid-staking derivative$200Position A
CUnrelated Layer 1 token$200

Nominal total open risk is $600 (3% of the account) across three "independent" 1%-risk trades. But positions A and B both depend on Token X — if it drops sharply, both are likely to hit their stops together, so the effective risk concentrated in Token X is closer to $400 (2%) in one underlying asset, with only $200 (1%) genuinely independent in position C. Sized this way, position A or B should arguably be reduced, or the two treated as one $400-risk position when deciding whether to add a fourth trade.

Common Mistakes

Limitations

Correlation between crypto assets isn't fixed — tokens that move independently in calm markets often correlate much more tightly during sharp, market-wide declines, which is exactly when the extra risk matters most. There's no single number that captures "how correlated" two positions are at the moment you need to know; it has to be estimated from judgment about shared dependencies, not just historical price data.

Crypto Position Sizing FAQs

What is the difference between position sizing and portfolio allocation?

Portfolio allocation is how much of your total wealth is exposed to crypto overall. Position sizing is how much of that crypto allocation goes into one specific asset or trade. A correct portfolio allocation doesn't guarantee correct position sizes, and vice versa.

How much of my crypto portfolio should be in one trade?

There's no fixed answer. Long-term holders often cap a single asset at a percentage of the crypto allocation; active traders often size from a maximum dollar risk divided by the stop-loss distance. Both should also account for what else is already open.

What is total open risk?

Total open risk is the sum of the planned dollar risk across every open position at once, not just the risk of the trade you're about to place. Four trades each risking $200 add up to $800 of total open risk, even though no single trade looks large on its own.

Do I need to account for correlation between different tokens?

Yes. Positions in different tokens that depend on the same blockchain, narrative, or liquidity source tend to fall together during market stress, so their combined risk can behave like one large position rather than several independent ones.

Should I use allocation-based or stop-based position sizing?

Allocation-based sizing suits longer-term holdings without a defined exit price. Stop-based sizing suits active trades with a specific invalidation level. Many portfolios use both, depending on the position.

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