Input Method
Key Metrics
IC Time Series with Decay Fit
Smoothed IC (12-period rolling mean)
IC half-life is estimated by fitting an exponential decay curve (IC_t = IC_0 × e^(−λt)) to the smoothed IC series using least-squares regression. Noise in the IC series causes wide confidence intervals around the half-life estimate — interpret it as directional guidance, not a precise measurement. Real signal research requires many more observations and cross-validation across independent datasets.